There has been a great deal of writing about the polls, are they underestimating this or that, was Walz a bad pick or a good one, is Vance weird or not?
I have noted that Harris’ momentum is not genuinely created. My belief is that she has peaked, and it is all down hill from here. Her CNN interview did nothing for her. Her policy prescriptions as they come out are not well received and not explained. She doesn’t discuss them. She still cannot speak clearly without following a script. And when she denies an accusation there is video evidence to quickly show that her denials were incorrect.
Walz has been an utter train wreck. His extended family (and his brother) came out and said they are voting for Trump. He walked away from a reporter’s question about the recent Hamas brutal murder of six hostages. Veteran groups loathe him.
In short, it’s all falling apart. It could fall apart for Trump as well, there is still 60 days until election day. But if things continue to move in the direction they are moving, I think election night will be a bit shorter than the last few. This link is from a democrat strategist sounding the alarm bells. In addition, as I have noted, there was no bounce from the convention, she is trailing Biden’s performance with youth, Hispanics, and black males.
Both Rasmussen and 538 project a Trump win right now. 538 just upped the probability by a few more percentage points. The media Harris cheerleaders are applauding Harris for not talking policy, because they all know what she proposes does not have any public support. If you go to her presidential website all it talks about is donating money or time and buying merchandise. Nary a policy nugget anywhere. The media thinks she is brilliant. The voters think she’s going to create food shortages and tax them on the value of their homes before they sell them.
I’ve covered a bunch of ground on this topic over the last few weeks - but I have one more thing to add. And I think it is a major thing.
Obama is done. Over.
This came to me while discussing the political terrain with a family member who shares my political leanings. Why Harris? They had to know this wasn’t going to last, right? She’s been a disaster as VP. Do they really believe they can get this candidate over the line too?
Biden may be mentally challenged, but he still knows politics. And he knows how to get even. When Pelosi came with the news to Joe that it was over, he knew exactly where to insert the knife - after he got all the agreements on what he needed to receive to withdraw from the race.
Harris was inserted on Joe’s ticket at Obama’s insistence. Joe would be a caretaker, and then Harris would step in, making Obama’s 4th and 5th terms a reality. But a few things happened on the way to this utopia of Obama’s mind. The reality of how bad Harris was, and how much Joe Biden could, well, as even Obama said it, f**k things up got in the way of Obama’s vision.
It was clear to democrats halfway through this administration that Harris just couldn’t carry the water. We all know how bad her ratings were as VP, how people who worked for her hated her, and her word salads were so egregious the Biden White House did everything they could to hide her.
When Biden was dispatched, Harris lobbied hard, and Biden endorsed her quickly. Notably among those delaying their endorsement were the Obamas. They wanted an open convention. There, Obama could be the kingmaker. Joe Biden saddled Obama with Harris. His early endorsement forced Obama’s hand. The “One” as we used to affectionately call him, got played by an increasingly senile geriatric Biden, who was never known for his mental acumen. And Biden knows, Harris has less of a chance than even he had to beat Trump.
Obama now owns Harris. Legitimate VP candidates, from an already weak democrat bench caused by Obama’s famed 2010 humiliation, stood down. Their financial backers and political advisors suggesting they sit this one out rather than get themselves attached to Harris, saddled Harris with a terrible VP option. Walz. I’ve mentioned his awfulness above. They might have had a shot at Shapiro, from a state Harris desperately needs to win. But he’s Jewish. And the democrats, who are the party of antisemites now (another Obama accomplishment), couldn’t abandon Iran after October 7. They can’t abandon them after Hamas executed six hostages. It’s impossible to sustain this. And it is all Obama’s fault.
The left domestically and internationally has a real problem with people having differing opinions being allowed to speak. That, along with the Hamas love created a fracture in the billionaire classes. Obama has managed to foist upon the democrats the worst possible candidate he could have, and also managed to get powerfully rich people to actively oppose the democrats. Worse, to embrace Trump.
I expect Harris’s campaign to continue to flounder. And I expect the pullers of the strings in the democrat world to be thinking how to cut Obama loose. People close to Obama worked to make sure Trump was the nominee, and then attacked him with legal warfare unprecedented in our political history. This managed to coalesce the GOP base around Trump, and made him a sympathetic figure to rich powerful people who realized that if an ex-president was no longer safe, what would happen if they ran afoul of the wrong people. Robert Reich is openly calling for Musk’s arrest.
The carnage left by Obama will not go unpunished by the people really calling the shots. Now that he’s managed to get stuck with Harris, they intend to make sure he goes down with her. The era of Obama is over.
Just like Kamala, Obama was a media creation. He was an inconsequential and little known Senator who, just halfway through his first term, opted to make a run for President. And he was black. There were plenty of questions about his background: His associations with terrorist Bill Ayers and activist Frank Marshall Davis, his days as a slumlord attorney working for Valerie Jarret, in the forward of his book Dreams of My Father his publisher presented him as a Kenyan native.... I could go on, but in summary, the public was basically ignorant about him and the press made sure that the uncurious stayed that way. Like Kamala, he really had no policies to run on other than to "Transform America". Into what, nobody really asked, but along with "Hope and Change" he sure made it sound good (to the gullible). The economy was in such a shambles at election time that the American public would've elected Alfred E Neuman if he were running as a Democrat. Same ears.
A texan friend of mine described Obama as a "Post Turtle" (look it up). That was probably the best description of him that I had ever heard. Summed him up to a tee. He's still that way except his hubris makes him incapable of recognizing that. If you were to ask him, I'm sure attributions of his success would be all about him.
What Obama has that Kamala doesn't, is his gift of gab. He can spend an hour talking without ever saying anything. Which, come to think of it, isn't that different from Kamala except he's better at it.
I'm glad you've caught on to what I've been overlooking, Jim. It's not a surprise that the Obama sheen has begun to tarnish and take on a stench. I used to think you couldn't polish a turd, Obama proved me wrong....At least for awhile.
Just announced that Trump's sentencing will occur after the election now. The democrats realize they are in choppy waters and are doing anything whatsoever to try and rescue Kamala.